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Solving the SARS Equation: Raymond Gutierrez

After 2 Macchiatos, Scott's ready for some riveting research.

To most of us, it's just a bunch of statistical graphs. To Scott, it is one step closer to solving an unsolvable problem.

The teaching aspect: Scott provides assistance to one of his students. Teaching only takes up 1/3 of his job.

"The number of organisms making the transition from one stage
to the next will be less as you move to the higher phases, as not all
organisms survive". Scott and Dr Warton use statistical methods to determine the probability of survival at each phase.

Scott writes up code for his simulation, and will visit Dr Tanaka again with his results.

"By fixing parameters at certain values you can simulate
an outbreak. The reverse, which is fairly tricky, is when you observe a
disease like SARS. Can you then infer the parameters in your model
from what you observe?... This is where I come in..."